Okay so let me tell you how this whole stats thing started messing with my head. I was getting wrecked every weekend in my fantasy league, right? Kept picking players that looked flashy but sucked points-wise. One night I’m drowning my sorrows in coffee when this MGC vs CRD idea hits me – Most Game Changers vs Consistent Reliable Dudes.
Grabbing the messy numbers
First I dragged last season’s stats into a spreadsheet. Total chaos mode – had to manually type some scribbled notes from my notebook after spilling coffee on it. Filtered out anyone who played less than half the games cause injured guys ruin everything. Took me three hours just to clean up positions and team columns.
The showdown setup
Made two separate lists:
- MGC side: Only counted games where players went absolutely nuts – like double digits in key stats
- CRD side: Tracked how many games they hit between 5-9 points without exploding
Realized halfway I needed to weight recent games more. Fumbled with spreadsheet formulas for an hour until I just made recent games count double. Hacky but worked.
Running the experiment
Picked two teams:
- Team A full of MGC heroes who occasionally disappear
- Team B packed with CRD machines putting up same numbers every week
Tracked them for four weeks manually in my battered notebook. Woke up at 6am every Monday before work to tally points. My girlfriend thought I’d lost it.
The ugly truth
After month? CRD team smoked MGC by like 18% average points. Those “boring” players brought steady points while my flashy MGC picks kept having toilet games. Biggest shocker was this “star” player – his MGC looked amazing but he ghosted in 60% of matches.
Now I use my homemade CRD formula every draft. Still tweak weights sometimes when players change teams. Not perfect but beats getting last place again. Lesson? Gimme the boring consistent robot over the showy chaos machine any day.
